Baffled By Quiet Tropics, More Fronts Coming

 Worldwide, only the EPAC (Eastern Pacific) basin is active with one Hurricane (Kiko) and one Tropical Storma (Lorena).  The Western Pacific and Indian Ocean are dead with the Tropical Atlantic has a potential storm by late this week.

Hurricane Kiko will approach Hawaii while the moisture from Lorena will stream into the desert Southwest. On the Atlantic side, NHC is highlighting a large area for potential development later this week.

Right now, there is nothing there, but models are picking up on development by late week.  IF something were to form, it's likely to follow the pattern of turning to the north away from the U.S.  The Euro right now has a track farther to the south that might impact the northern Leeward islands.  Long time to watch it.  We still have the deep upper trough over the Great Lakes & eastern states.  That prevents any tropical development as it's creating strong WNW wind shear.  A boundary remains over the Gulf, but the shear is king.

That weak circulation over Florida yesterday has shifted eastward over the Gulf Stream.  Again, strong upper wind shear is preventing any development.  So we're watching for more weak fronts coming later this week into the weekend.

Usually during the first two weeks of September, the fronts are not much cooler, but they bring drier air down.  We're still going to top 90 for most of this week.

It's hard to do a podcast when the weather is so bland.  Still, I'll plug it for those of you who haven't signed up yet at bobbreck.com.

We won't do one tonight since nothing is going on.  I'm reaching out to several friends, past & present, to be guests on the podcast when the weather is quiet.  But you can't watch them unless you subscribe for $2/month.  That's 7 cents a day.  Such a deal!  Give it a try as the second half of September & the first two weeks in October are likely to be active.  That Eastern trough will be replaced by a Southeast upper high that will steer storms into the Gulf.  Give yourself that piece of mind by listening & seeing the little fella again.  Stay tuned!