Saturday, September 6, 2025

Front Coming Sunday, Close In Development? KiKo Bypasses Hawaii

We won't be dashing for the sweaters and jackets on Monday, but you'll notice a different feel to the air as a cold front staggers down through the Deep South.  How far offshore will the front get?  Hard to say, but we should get into the lower dew points/less humidity by Sunday evening through Tuesday. For early September, it's a start to changing our seasons.





Yesterday, Dallas was in the 90s.  Today they're in the 70s!  The only concern I have is that once the front gets into the Gulf, there is a weak swirl already there.



The color infrared shows no T-Storms are with it, no model has development & NHC isn't talking about it.  I just have a feeling that IF we are to see a Gulf threat this year, it will be "homegrown" and not from out in the Atlantic.  Compare what's happening down in the Caribbean.




The color view does have lots of T-Storms around what appears to be a mid-level swirl, but NHC isn't mentioning it.  With a front coming down, a leftover boundary over Florida, I just need us to pay attention closer in because the Atlantic is dead for Tropical activity.  Here's why.


Look at all of the dry air from the eastern Caribbean out over the MDR.  To the north of that, nothing but TUTT Lows.  Nothing is going to form out there for a while.  So locally, we await the front because we're still hot.



As for the Hurricane threat to Hawaii, Kiko is weakening, but more importantly, is now expected to stay well north of the Islands.



All the Islands are now outside the cone.  OK, the Saints open up tomorrow and I'll try & stay optimistic.  Saint's 27-24 on a Grupe 51-yard FG.  Who Dat!

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