Monday, August 25, 2025

What Happened To Active Season? Gulf Remains Unsettled, Fronts Drying Us Out

We all heard the early predictions for an above-normal storm season back in April.  Those numbers were scaled back slightly by August, and if you go strictly by the number of named storms, we're ahead of last year.  Hannah Gard showed this graphic on her new FOX 8 program.


We actually are ahead of last year's pace, but the location of these storms have had little impact on land.  As you can see, last September went nuts with 6 named storms & 4 more in October.  Just don't see that happening this year, as models are seeing very little for the next 10-14 days.  Look at the dust still pouring off of Africa.


Plus, there is very little activity coming across of Africa.  Even our part of the World is quiet with the exception of Tropical Storm Fernand way out in the Atlantic.



We have two waves over the Caribbean and a leftover boundary across the Gulf.  It's quite a difference from August 29th of 2005 (Katrina) & 2021 (Ida).  It appears we will stay quiet well into the beginning of September.  I hope that quietness doesn't discourage you from subscribing to my podcast.


For only $2/month you can watch me expand upon my WVUE Facebook post.  Or watch my interview with David Bernard coming this Wednesday.  Remember David during Ida?



Here he's pointing out the eastward jog that brought the eyewall to many of us.  Don't subscribe?  Can't see David, who will update where his life is now after retiring from broadcasting.  He's still helping people who are affected by the weather.  Go sign up today at bobbreck.com.


With the current upper pattern, we will have no tropical activity across the northern Gulf into August.  That deep upper trough is bringing down an early Canadian chill.



We won't see the chill, but we should get into the drier air.






It should really feel good here for most of this week.  Still hot, but the mornings will be more comfortable. Almost unheard of to have no PM storms along the Gulf coast in late August.



So with nothing going on, I won't do a podcast post tonight.   I'll be back tomorrow and again on Wednesday with David.  Stay tuned!

2 comments:

Seaoats said...

You are terrific, Bob! I will try to tune in to your podcast, though I subscribed the first day that it was available I still haven't gotten to watch it yet. But even so, how can I complain for $2 a month for my favorite weather caster

Webmaster said...

Just so you are aware, the shows are archived on the main website and you can go back and watch them all.